AIA Forecaster
A multi-agent LLM forecasting system that achieves superforecaster-level performance. Based on the Bridgewater AIA Labs research achieving expert-level judgmental forecasting at scale.
Featured Markets
Live prediction markets tracked by the AIA Forecaster
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?
Ensemble based on 3 agents (agent_2=0.10, agent_3=0.10). supervisor: The majority of projections from sources like TD Economics, Trading Economics, Fed dot plots, and forecasts from J.P. Morgan suggest that the federal funds rate will be in a range around 3.25% by yearend 2027, which is below 4.00%. However, there are …
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?
Ensemble based on 3 agents (agent_3=0.10, agent_2=0.15). supervisor: The recent projections from the Federal Reserve, including the December 2025 Fed Dot Plot, suggest that the upper bound of the federal funds rate will be around 3.25% by yearend 2027. This projection is consistent across multiple sources and indicates a low …
yes Luciano Darderi,yes Sebastian Baez,yes Juan Manuel Cerundolo,yes Mariano Navone,yes Dortmund,yes Leverkusen,yes Frankfurt,yes Joselyne Edwards,yes Alden Coria,yes Melquizael Costa,yes Yadier Delvalle,yes Carlos Leal Miranda,yes Alibi Idiris,yes Michel Pereira,yes Jacobe Smith,yes Ante Delija,yes Anthony Hernandez,yes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Ensemble based on 3 agents (agent_1=0.50, agent_2=0.50). supervisor: The original question does not provide enough context or clarity about what is being forecasted, leading to a default probability of 0.5. There are no specific precedents or foundational data provided that could inform a more accurate assessment.
Will any EA charity get a grant more than twice the median grant for Project for Awesome 2026?
Ensemble based on 5 agents (agent_3=0.10, agent_1=0.30). supervisor: While historical data suggests some larger grants, the exact distribution for 2026 is uncertain.
Data Sources
Build Your Own Forecasting Agents
Learn how to build autonomous trading agents in Part 6 of the ML4T workflow. Covers generative AI, multi-agent systems, and production deployment.