Chapter 16: Strategy Simulation

Sharpe Ratio Under Autocorrelation and Non-Normal Returns advanced

How serial dependence and asymmetric tails change Sharpe annualization, sampling uncertainty, and the strength of the evidence in a backtest.

How serial dependence and asymmetric tails change Sharpe annualization, sampling uncertainty, and the strength of the evidence in a backtest.

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References

The Statistics of Sharpe Ratios
Andrew W. Lo (2002)
The Sharpe Ratio Efficient Frontier
David H. Bailey, Marcos Lopez de Prado (2012)
The Deflated Sharpe Ratio: Correcting for Selection Bias, Backtest Overfitting and Non-Normality
David H. Bailey, Marcos Lopez de Prado (2014)
How to Use the Sharpe Ratio
Marcos Lopez de Prado, Alexander Lipton, Vincent Zoonekynd (2025)